La Nina Moves to Neutral Levels, But Heavy Rain Forecast for April

Oleochem Analytics — The La Niña weather event has turned inactive, Australia’s weather bureau said last week, ending a six-month spell of greater rainfall and cooler than average temperatures across South East Asia.

Even though climate model forecasts suggest the Pacific will remain at neutral ENSO levels at least until the winter, the Bureau stressed that it does not mean that rainfall is over.

“In particular, we are expecting the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) to move through the Australian tropics, and that’s going to increase cloudiness and rainfall”, Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) climatologist Naomi Benger said.

The MJO has moved at moderate strength and is expected to bring increased risk of tropical low/cyclone activity.

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